
It’s time once again for the Game of the Week. It’s on Sunday and comes from Madrid this time: it’s the local derbi between Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid. It’s at the Bernabeu so “home field advantage” goes to Real this time around. Apparently Capello is thinking about fielding the same starting lineup (Spanish) as he did against Dynamo Kiev. That lineup would be:
Casillas, Mejía, Cannavaro, Sergio Ramos, Roberto Carlos, Emerson, Diarra, Reyes, Guti, Raúl and van Nistelrooy
That’s a 4-2-3-1 if you’re trying to think of the tactical scheme, with van Nistelrooy being the lone frontman and Reyes and Raul backing him up on the flanks while Guti hangs around as the Zidane-esque attacking midfielder. Diarra and Emerson of course will sit back and occassionaly Diarra will move forward, but not often. Without Salgado starting, there’s less of a threat down the wings, but Roberto Carlos could cause a few problems for the Atlético defense. Ronaldo made an appearance, but it seems silly to think he would start of van Nistelrooy, who scored twice against Kiev. Cicinho is gone with a knee injury suffered in Saturday’s win at Real Betis, which could certainly affect the lineup late in the game if it’s tight.
As for Atlético, there’s little coming from their camp as to what the lineup will be (as per usual) — in fact, according to Marca (Spanish), there are several completely different lineups available, but the most recent one (against Sevilla) was this:
Leo Franco, Seitaridis, Pablo, Perea, Antonio López, Maxi Rodríguez, Costinha, Luccin Petrov, Fernando Torres and Agüero.
This sounds like a pretty solid lineup to me and any defensive laxness could really cost Madrid, especially if the Aguero of late and the Torres of the World Cup show up for the game. Prediction: 2-2 draw; it’s too much to ask Atlético to go into the Bernabeu and come away with a win and while current league form suggests either side could come away with 3 points, the safe bet is on defensive weakness on both sides.
In the EPL:
First, Chelsea – Aston Villa on Saturday. It’s a slow week in the EPL, so this will have to do as the big ticket show. Against Levski Sofia on Wednesday, Mourinho opted for a 4-4-2, but that hardly held its shape in midfield, with Mikel running willy-nilly behind Sheva trying to figure out where he should be going. Expect a more typical lineup such as the one against Fulham last Saturday:
Petr Cech, Ashley Cole, Terry, Carvalho, Ferreira, Essien, Lampard, Makelele, Drogba, Robben, Shevchenko
The truly observant of you will notice that Terry is in this lineup in place of Geremi. Kudos if you did notice it. That Terry is back is probably the biggest reason that Aston Villa are going to have serious problems finding the back of the net. This lineup I envision as a 4-1-2-2-1 (damn that’s complicated), massing in the middle of the park and letting Ferreira and Cole bomb down the sides. Boulharouz could step into the middle if he’s back from his eye-thingy which would mean Ferreira would take a seat and only Cole would saunter forward.
Aston Villa’s main chance to win this me is to attack the defense while Cole is forward. That means counter attacking and doing so in numbers. That, to me, means sticking to the same starting eleven as last week:
Sorensen, Barry, Hughes, Mellberg, Ridgewell, Davis, McCann, Petrov, Agbonlahor, Angel, Moore
I wouldn’t suggest putting in Baros because he hasn’t been playing with this squad throughout their season; they’ve been having a solid run (3 wins and 3 draws so far) and that’s not bad at all. With Chelsea currrently on 4 wins in a row, there’s not much hope, but certainly putting out an attacking lineup will increase your chances of at least potentially winning the game. But I’m an attacking football kind of guy so a forward-minded 4-3-2-1 is the way to go against Chelsea. Predicition: 2-0 Chelsea. Despite what I just said, Chelsea is the better team. But I am definitely rooting for Villa to come away with a draw here. A victory would be rapturous. [In case you're keeping track, Randy Lerner has now bought enough of Villa to require a compulsory sell by the rest of the shareholders. That makes him sole owner. I don't know if that's good or bad, but how can a Clevelander be wrong?]
Man U – Newcastle: Look for the Red Devils to move forward a bit more and for Newcastle to desperately try to get back into the EPL’s top half. Prediction: 2-1 Man U. They won’t be beaten twice in a row at home.
Tottenham – Portsmouth: With Berbatov still out and nothing really going their way, this might be a very, very sad match for the Spurs. Their title hopes are gone and now they probably just want a 6th place finish. Good luck. Prediction: 0-2 Portsmouth.